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Open Journal of Energy Efficiency Announcement from Editorial Board The article henceforth has been retracted based on the investigation on the complaints received against it. Title: Green Transport Infrastructure of Taiwan Author: Shyi-Min Lu, Ching Lu, Yu-Shun Huang The first author Mr. Shyi-Mi n Lu has published the article without Mr. Yu-Shun Huang’s authorization. In addition, a large part of the article is judged to be plagiar ized from Mr. Yu-Shun Huang's M.S. thesis. The scientific community takes a very strong view on this matter and treats all unethical behaviors such as plagiarism seriously. Hence the article, which is published in OJEE Vol.2 No.1, 16-21, 2013, has been removed from this site. OJEE Editorial Board November 25, 2013 Open Journal of Energy Efficiency, 2013, 2, 16-21 doi:10.4236/ojee.2013.21003 Published Online March 2013 (http://www.scirp.org/journal/ojee) Gr een Transport Infrastructur e of Ta iwan Shyi-Min Lu1*, Ching Lu2, Yu-Shun Huang3 1Energy Research Center, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan 2Department of Internal Medicine, Hsin-Chu Branch Hospital, Hsin-Chu, Taiwan 3Institute of Applied Mechanics, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan Email: *accklk@yahoo.com.tw Received January 12, 2013; revised February 11, 2013; accepted March 5, 2013 ABSTRACT Transport is the lifeblood of a nation’s economy. Since the fossil fuels are being gradually depleted and the global warming phenomena are more and more serious, this article is to construct a low-carbon transport infrastructure for Taiwan by the implementation of energy-saving measures. First of all, via data collection and analysis, we found that the small passenger cars and the large trucks are the largest energy users in the transport sector, due to their high energy intensities and large transport volumes. Therefore, their energy-conserving potentials are the focuses of this study. According to “Top-Down” methodology, the most effective and economical energy-saving strategies for Taiwan’s transport sector are the significant adoptions of rail transport and electrification mode. Whereby, under a maximal energy-saving scenario, comprising of delicate shift of transport volumes, the energy saving potential in the land transport sector of Taiwan is 4914 MLOE (million liters of oil equivalent), which is equivalent to greenhouse gas reduction of 10.56 Mt-CO2e approximately with a scale of 45.3% or crediting for 4.1% reduction of national GHG emissions. Finally, we suggest the green transport infrastructure of Taiwan should be mainly comprised of rail transport, electric motorcycles, MRT (Mass Rapid Transit), and EV (Electric Vehicles). Keywords: Land Transport Sector; Low-Carbon Infrastructure; Energy Conservation 1. Introduction Please refer to Table 1. Taiwan’s total energy use in the transport sector was 15546.3 MOLE in 2010 [1], acc- ounting for 12.92% of the national final energy use. In addition, the transport sector totally emitted 35.317 Mt- CO2 [2] in 2010, with a share of 13.9% of national GHG emissions. Based on the calculation of these data, the carbon intensity of the transport sector is 0.00227 Mt- CO2/MLOE, while that of entire nation is 0.00211 Mt- CO2/MLOE. The possible explanation for the closeness of these two values may be that half of Taiwan’s primary energy supply is from crude oil and petroleum products. Meanwhile, the land transportation, consuming 81.3% of energy in the transport sector, should be sufficient to represent the entire transport sector, in terms of energy saving and carbon reduction. As shown in Table 2, the industrial sector—the pri- macy of oil consuming structure—used 48% national pe- troleum in 2010 mainly for the manufacture of chemical raw materials and relative products. The transport sector, on the second place, with share of 30%, mainly used energy in the forms of vehicle fuels, including 9722.1 million liters of gasoline and 4414.0 million liters of diesel. 2. Energy Saving Strategies for Taiwan’s Land Transport Sector Please refer to Table 3. Pursuant to transport objects, the “land transport” can be divided into two kinds of “man- ned transport” and “freight”; the total energy consump- tion of the former is about twice the latter’s. The small passenger cars use 70% of energy in the manned trans- port, accounting for 50% by taking the transport sector as a whole. In other words, the small passenger cars use one-tenth of Taiwan’s petroleum. Therefore, we regard the small passenger cars as the major energy-saving objects in the transport sector. The concrete measure is to travel more frequently by rail transports that include railway, high-speed rail and MRT (Mass Rapid Transit) instead of driving cars, while the remaining cars are made to be converted to electric vehicles to the maximal extent. As shown in Table 3, in terms of energy intensity, the electric vehicle is 50% of that of small passenger car, while the rail transport is as low as 13%. Here, the unit of energy intensity is LOE/p-km (i.e., liters of oil equiva- lent per person per kilometer). The correspondingly energy-saving measure for the second largest energy user—motorcycle—is to encou rage people taking MRT *Corresponding author. Copyright © 2013 SciRes. OJEE Retracted S.-M. LU ET AL. 17 Table 1. Energy consumption structure of the transport sector of Taiwan in 2010. Energy resource Oil products Power Total Fuel type Unit Transport way LPG (Million liter) Gasoline (Million liter) Aviation fuel (Million liter) Diesel (Million liter) Fuel oil (Million liter) Energy use subtotal (MLOE) (MLOE) (MLOE) International aviation - - 2473.9 - - 2199.1 - 2199.1 Domestic aviation - - 96.4 - - 85.7 - 85.7 Road 133.1 9722.1 - 4414.0 - 12643.9 - 12643.9 Railway - - - 31.9 - 29.7 286.7 316.4 Domestic water - - - 111.5 184.8 301.2 - 301.2 Total 133.1 9722.1 2570.3 4557.4 184.8 15259.6 286.7 15546.3 Data source: [1]. Table 2. Domestic oil products consumption. Year 1990 2000 2010 1990-2010 Energy use unit and percentage Item MLOE % MLOE % MLOE % Annual growth rate (%) Power generation 5652.9 19.5 7484.1 17.0 3322.4 6.4 −2.6 Power plant’s self use 1819.8 6.3 2384.6 5.4 2006.8 3.9 0.5 Industry 7799.8 26.9 12709.1 28.8 24810.0 48.0 6.0 Transport 7958.9 27.4 14316.3 32.5 15259.6 29.5 3.3 Agriculture 1047.3 3.6 844.3 1.9 338.5 0.7 −5.5 Service 1225.6 4.2 1000.8 2.3 1150.2 2.2 −0.3 Residence 1240.2 4.3 1631.7 3.7 1317.5 2.5 0.3 Non-energy use 2261.9 7.8 3718.0 8.4 3513.1 6.8 2.2 Total (domestic use) 29006.5 100.0 44088.8 100.0 51718.2 100.0 2.9 Data source: [3]. Table 3. The energy intensit i e s of land transportations for 2010 and 2030. Year 2010 2030 Technical Scenario Energy intensityTransport volume Energy useEnergy-saving measure Energy intensity Unit - LOE/p-km Million person-km MLOE - LOE/p-km Motorcycle 0.0241 66,795 1610 0.0124 Car 0.054 99,394 5367 0.027 Bus Internal combustion engine 0.024 15,843 380 Electrification mode and rail mode 0.016 Railway 60% loaded 0.011 8998 99 0.007 Taipei 88% loaded 0.011 4237 47 0.01 Taichung - - - - 0.01 MRT Kaohsiung 50% loaded 0.027 201 5 0.01 High speed rail 49% loaded 0.015 7491 112 Expanding transport volumes: fully loaded, increasing number of runs and lines. 0.0075 Manned transport Others - - 88 40 - - Subtotal - - 203,047 7661 - - Unit LOE/t-km Million ton-km MLOE LOE/t-km Railway 0.025 873 22 Expanding transport volume 0.025 Large truck 0.046 57,614 2650 Rail mode 0.025 Freight Small truck 0.18 2900 522 Hybrid mode (HEV) 0.1439 Subtotal - 61,387 3194 - Total - - 10855 - Data source: bureau of energy MOEA, ministry of transportation and communications. Copyright © 2013 SciRes. OJEE Retracted S.-M. LU ET AL. 18 or riding electric motorcycle, because their energy inten- sities are only half. Basically, for the same transport volume, the energy used by rail transport is only 13% - 19% of traditional car’s or 50% of electric vehicle’s. Apparently, among the manned transports, the rail transport is more energy- efficient than electric car and of course much more energy-efficient than traditional vehicle. Moreover, for the transport sector to meet the goals of energy conser- vation and carbon reduction, it would be much more economical and feasible by increasing the number of runs of the rail transports, instead of purchasing gigantic amount of electric vehicles additionally, because there are already many kinds of rail transports in Taiwan, like, the high-speed rail, Taiwan Railway and MRT. But motorcycle is not the case, because the MRT is almost as energy efficient as electric motorcycle in terms of energy intensity 0.01 LOE/p-km and 0.0124 LOE/p-km respec- tively while that of traditional motorcycle is 0.0241 LOE/p-km. Therefore, the MRT and electric motorcycle are as twice energy-efficient as traditional motorcycle. But due to personal convenience, motorcycle is very po- pular in Taiwan. Impressively, every Taiwanese owns 0.64 unit of motorcycle [4,5]. Therefore, traditional mo- torcycles have 33% transport volume but only use 21% energy in the manned transport sector. Motorcycles do contribute significant energy conservation in Taiwan’s transport infrastructure. So basically in the manned vehi- cles, the main energy-saving measure for the small pas- senger cars should concentrate on transferring their trans- port volume to MRT, while that for traditional motor- cycles is mainly on their electrification mode. Please refer to Table 3. As for freight sector, the main energy users are large trucks with transport volume share of 83%. However, in the unit of liters of oil equivalent per ton per kilometer (LOE/t-km), the energy intensity of large truck is twice that of rail transport (e.g., Taiwan Railway). On the other hand, the energy intensity of small truck is remarkably high, about four times that of large truck and seven times that of Taiwan Railway. Obviously, railway transport has significant energy-sav- ing advantage over the traditional trucks. However, rail- way has very low transport share (1.4%) in Taiwan’s freight sector. Therefore, the proposed energy-saving measure for freight is to shift the majority of large trucks to railway. In addition, in small trucks, the internal com- bustion engines should be converted to electric motors, because the energy consumption could be lowered by 20%. 3. Energy-Saving and Carbon Reducing Program for Taiwan’s Land Transport As shown in Table 4 and Figure 1, among many plan- ning programs, we only illustrate the most energy-saving one—“1) maximizing the MRT; 2) increasing the num- Figure 1. Transport volume distribution of manned vehicl es from 2010 to 2030. ber of runs of high-speed rail and Taiwan Railway; and 3) partly electrifying the motorcycles”—as this article’s “the best energy saving and carbon reducing program for the manned transport sector of Taiwan from 2010 to 2030”, which is highlighted as follows. 1) Expanding the operations of Taipei MRT to 3 times that of 2010; 2) Expanding the operations of Taichung MRT to 2 times that of 2020; two operation lines will be completed for Taichung MRT in 2020, the transport volume of which is assessed based upon the growing background of Kaohsiung MRT; 3) Expanding the transport volume of Kaohsiung MRT to 3 times that of 2010; 4) Expanding the transport volumes of Taiwan Rail- way and high-speed rail to 1.8 times and 2 times respec- tively those of 2010, the concrete measures of which are the increase of number of runs; 5) Transferring the reduced transport volume of small passenger cars to the high-speed rail and Taiwan Railway; meanwhile, transferring the reduced transport volume of motorcycles to MRT, as described in the above; and 80% remaining transport volumes of buses, cars and motor- cycles are all practiced with electrification mode. In this article, we adopt the “Top-Down” analytic me- thodology. Therefore, the data shown in Table 3 all come from the government departments, for example, Ministry of Economic Affairs and Ministry of Transport and Com- munications. Here, we use the “million personkm” as the unit of transport volume of manned vehicles and “million ton-km” for the freight transports. As shown in Figures 1 and 2, basically, the respective total transport volume in “manned sector” and “freight sector” remains unchanged from 2010 to 2030. Under the transfers of transport vo- lume between various means of transport, the total trans- port volume in 2010 is same as that in 2030, but the distribution is different. In other words, the transport volumes of less energy-efficient vehicles are transferred to more energy-efficient vehicles, whereby the total ener- gy use is reduced. As shown in Table 4, according to above program, the Copyright © 2013 SciRes. OJEE Retracted S.-M. LU ET AL. 19 Table 4. Energy saving program and results of Taiwan’s land transport sector for 2030. Year 2030 Transport’s energy-saving measures in the base year of 2010 Transport volume Energy use Energy-saving volume Unit - Million person-km MLOE MLOE Motorcycle Partly transferring transport volume to MRT, and electrifying the 80% remaining transport volume 54,579 804 805 Car Partly transferring transport volume to railway and high speed rail, and electrifying the 80% remaining transport volume 58,312 1942 3425 Bus Electrifying the 80% transport volume 15,843 279 101 Railway 1.8 times the fully-loaded transport volume 26,995 189 −90 Taipei Triple the fully-loaded transport volume 14,445 144 −98 Taichung Double the fully-loaded transport volume of 2020 1004 10 −10 MRT Kaohsiung Triple the fully-loaded transport volume 1205 12 −7 High speed rail Double the fully-loaded transport volume 30,576 229 −117 Manned transport Others - 88 84 −44 Subtotal - 203,047 3694 3967 (51.8%) Unit - Million ton-km MLOE MLOE Railway Expanding transport volume by the 80% transport volume of large truck 41,983 1050 −1028 Large truck 80% transport volume transferred to railway 16,503 759 1891 Freight Small truck 80% transport volume transferred to HEV 2900 438 84 Subtotal - 61,387 2247 947 (30%) Total - - 5941 4914 (45.3%) Figure 2. Transport volume distribution of freight trans- portations from 2010 to 2030. transport volume decreased from motorcycles is the transport volume increased to MRT. The same strategy is practiced to small passenger cars and rail transports. No surprise, the energy-saving amount of small passenger cars—up to 3425 MLOE—almost covers the total ener- gy-saving amount in the entire manned transport sector. Additionally, as shown Figure 3, the energy-saving scale is up to about 50% significantly by taking the manned transport as a whole. As shown in Table 4, the transport volume of small passenger cars is effectively transferred to Taiwan Rail- way and high-speed rail. Although the volume of rail transport is increased significantly, the net energy-saving amount is remarkable, due to the super low energy- consuming intensity of rail transport. Under the electri- fication mode, the increasing rate of electric vehicles for the purpose of replacing cars and motorcycles—will be 20% in every five years, making this program very effec- tive in energy conservation, because the original trans- port volumes of cars and motorcycles are gigantic. Next, please refer to Figure 2 and the left lower fields of Tabl e 4. “The best energy-saving and carbon-reducing program for the freight transport sector of Taiwan from 2010 to 2030” is highlighted as follows. Transferring 80% freight volume of large truck to Taiwan Railway. Converting 80% small trucks to hybrid trucks. Please refer to the lower half of Table 3. According to the data provided by the Institute of Transportation, MOTC, the large truck consumes about 1 liters of diesel, after traveling 1 kilometer with 20 tons of load. Mean- while, the small truck consumes 1 liters of gasoline, after Copyright © 2013 SciRes. OJEE Retracted S.-M. LU ET AL. 20 Figure 3. Energy use trend of manned vehicles from 2010 to 2030. traveling three kilometers with 1.8 tons of load. There- fore, the energy intensities of large truck and small truck are 0.046LOE/t-km and 0.18LOE/t-km respectively. As shown in Table 4, if transferring most road freight volume to Taiwan Railway, the energy consumption could be reduced significantly. Taiwan Railway is almost the only main long-distance intercity transport (i.e., more than 50 kilometers) to energy-efficiently replace the large trucks. Therefore, in this program, 20% freight of large trucks in 2010 is transferred to Taiwan Railway in every five years. As for small truck, the main energy-saving measure is focused on HEV. Please refer to the reference [6]. There will be an energy saving of 20%, after the small truck is converted to HEV (Hybrid Electric Vehi- cle). Therefore, the freight energy saved from replacing the small truck with HEV at a rate of 20% in every five years can be calculated in the period between 2010 and 2030. As shown in Table 4 and Figure 4, under the scenario significantly reducing the freight volume of large trucks and remarkably increasing the freight volume of Taiwan Railway, the calculation results that the energy consumed in the freight sector can be amazingly reduced 947 MLOE by deducting the inferred 2247 MLOE in 2030 from the original 3194 MLOE in 2010. 4. Conclusions and Discussion Please refer to upper half of Table 3. The energy-using share of the small passenger cars is about 50%, followed by 25% of the large trucks, by taking the entire land transport sector as a whole. It may deduce that the energy- saving results of small passenger cars and large trucks are crucial to the carbon-reducing credits of the entire transport sector. As shown in Table 4, after adopting the program: 1) maximizing the MRT; 2) increasing the number of runs of Taiwan Railway and high-speed rail; and 3) partly converting the motorcycles to electrifica- tion mode; it is possible for the manned transport sector Figure 4. Energy use trend of freight transportations from 2010 to 2030. to save energy up to 3967 MLOE or 51.8%. There are two measures for the energy-saving program of mall passenger cars: the first is to transfer 41.3% transport volume to Taiwan Railway and high-speed rail; the second is to convert 45.0% transport volume to elec- trification mode. According to the calculated results, the energy-conserving shares will be 56.0% and 35.2% res- pectively. Obviously, the rail mode is remarkably supe- rior to the electrification mode. Please refer to the lower half of Table 4. On the aspect of freight transport, when shifting the large truck to Taiwan Railway and converting the small truck from fossil-fueled mode to hybrid mode respectively at a ratio of 80% in terms of transport volume, the total energy saving will be 947 MLOE or 30%. Wherein, the energy saving of the largest energy consumer—the large truck— is up to 1891 MLOE or 70%. But overall, the effective- ness of the energy-saving is limited, because at the same time, the energy consumed by Taiwan Railway increases 1006 MLOE significantly. However, as mentioned above, in the energy saving measures of rail mode, the only one thing needed to do for the Taiwan Railway is to increase the number of runs. From the economical point of view, it is still very worthy. From above analyses, the total energy saving amount of both manned and freight transports is 4914 MLOE, which is equivalent to GHG reduction of 10.56 Mt-CO2 approximately with a scale of 45.3%. Meanwhile, the resulted shares are 4.08% and 4.15% respectively on the national aspects of energy conservation and carbon re- duction. Finally, from above data analyses and results discus- sion, we suggest two green strategies for the land trans- port sector of Taiwan. First of all, the extensive adoption of rail mode, including the increase of number of runs and the expansion of transport volumes, is the most ef- fective energy-saving measure, particularly for the small passenger cars and large trucks that should be replaced by rail transport in a large scale. Secondly, as the popula- rity of motorcycles in Taiwan, instead of being replaced Copyright © 2013 SciRes. OJEE Retracted S.-M. LU ET AL. Copyright © 2013 SciRes. OJEE 21 by rail transport completely, we suggest the adoption of electric motorcycle should be more feasible and econo- mical, due to the considerations of personal convenience and dense population in Taiwan. 5. Acknowledgements This paper is one of the research results of National Sci- ence and Technology Program-Energy (NSTPE) spon- sored by National Science Council (Taiwan). REFERENCES [1] MOEABOE, “Energy Use in Transport Sector,” 2011, http://web3.moeaboe.gov.tw/ECW/populace/content/Cont entLink.aspx?menu_id=378 [2] MOEABOE, “Statistical Analysis of Taiwan’s Carbon Dioxide Emissions from Fuel Combustion,” 2011. http://web3.moeaboe.gov.tw/ECW/populace/content/Sub Menu.aspx?menu_id=114 [3] MOEABOE, “Energy Statistics Monthly: Oil and Its Proucts,” 2012. http://web3.moeaboe.gov.tw/ECW/populace/web_book/ WebReports.aspx?book=M_CH&menu_id=142 [4] MOTC, “Motor Vehicle Registration Number,” 2010. http://www.motc.gov.tw/ch/home.jsp?id=63&parentpath= 0,6 [5] DGBAS, “Summary Analysis of the Preliminary Results of the 2010 Population and Housing Census,” 2010. http://www.dgbas.gov.tw/public/Attachment/1117161334 71.doc [6] C. P. Chen, “Science Report 2007 on Hybrid Vehicles,” the Hong Kong Christian Pui Oi School, 2007. http://www.pos.edu.hk/web/Graph/indexbody11a/Report. pdf Retracted |