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Open Journal of Forestry
2012. Vol.2, No.4, 252-256
Published Online October 2012 in SciRes (http://www.SciRP.org/journal/ojf) http://dx.doi.org/10.4236/ojf.2012.24031
Copyright © 2012 SciRes.
Assessment of Profitability of Land Use Systems in Tanjung
Jabung Barat District, Jambi Province, Indonesia
Muhammad Sofiyuddin, Arief Rahmanulloh, S. Suyanto
World Agroforestry Center (ICRAF Southeast Asia Program), Bogor, Indonesia
Received July 23rd, 2012; Revised August 26th, 2012; Acce pte d S ept ember 10th, 2012
The purpose of the research was to compare the profitability of existing land uses in Tanjung Jabung
Barat, Jambi province, Indonesia, for formulating a strategy to reduce emissions from deforestation and
degradation (REDD). Net Present Value was used for comparing profits of different types of investment
(e.g. different type of land use). Rapid Rural Appraisal was used to gather information on farm budget
data for each land use, including prices, production, labor and other input. The results of the profitability
analysis showed that all land uses, both on mineral soil and peat land, were profitable. Oil palm, both in
large plantations and smallholder gardens, was the most profitable land-use system. However, the profit-
ability of smallholder oil palm on peatland was lower than on mineral soils yet oil palm was still more
competitive than rubber on mineral soils. The competitiveness of mixed gardens with oil palm was higher
on peatland and the threat of converting other land uses to oil palm was higher on mineral soil than on
peat. For crop systems, irrigated paddy had the highest profitability.
Keywords: Profitability; NPV; Land Use System; REDD+; Indonesia
The purpose of the research was to compare the profitability
of existing land uses in Tanjung Jabung Barat, Jambi province,
Indonesia, for formulating a strategy to reduce emissions from
deforestation and degradation (REDD). The results of the prof-
itability analysis, when combined with an understanding of the
carbon contents of different land uses, were crucial for assess-
ing the trade-offs involved in different land uses. Net Present
Value (NPV) was used for comparing the profits of different
types of investments (e.g. different type of land use). The NPV
of a project or investment is defined as the sum of the present
values of the annual cash flows minus the initial investment.
The annual cash flows are the net benefits (revenues minus
costs) generated from the investment during its lifetime. These
cash flows are discounted or adjusted by incorporating the un-
certainty and time value of money (Gittinger, 1982).
The study site was Tanjung Jabung Barat district in Jambi
province on the island of Sumatra in Indonesia (Figure 1). The
total area of the district was approximately 5000 km2, with
almost 40% of the area being peatlands in the east towards the
coast. About 48%, or 240,000 ha, of the district is classified as
“forest area”. About 71% of the “forest area” was classified as
production forest, 7% was protected peat forest and 4% was
national park. The proportion of “non-forest area” in this dis-
trict was very high, dominated by coconut agroforestry, rubber
agroforestry, rubber monoculture and, most recently, oil palm.
The population was approximately 266,952 people in 2009,
with a density of about 51 persons per square kilometer. Early
in-migration occurred during the 1940s-1950s, mostly Bugis
and Banjar ethnic groups from Sulawesi and Kalimantan is-
lands. The most significant migration into the site occurred
during the 1980s-1990s under the Government of Indonesia’s
transmigration program, which was linked with the develop-
ment of large-scale oil palm plantations. Transmigrants were
the major source of labor for oil-palm companies.
NPV is one of the most robust financial evaluation tools to
estimate the value of an investment. The formula used to calcu-
late the NPV is:
where Bt is benefit at year t, Ct cost at year t, t is time denoting
year and i is discount rate.
NPV is calculated for “private” and “social” prices. NPV at
private price shows private profitability: the result can measure
profitability as a production incentive. NPV at social price
shows social profitability, that is, measuring the potential profit
that can be received by the farmer/operator. The investment for
one specific land use is considered profitable if the NPV is
higher than zero. The higher the NPV the higher the profitabil-
ity of an investment. An indicator of profitability is return to
labor, which is defined as the wage rate at NPV equal to zero.
Return to labor is calculated by adjusting the wage rate until
NPV is zero. The investment is profitable if return to labor is
higher than the wage rate. A rapid rural appraisal (RRA) was
used to gather information on farm budget data for each land
use, including prices, production, labor and input used, for 2010.
The resource persons and/or key informants interviewed for the
purpose of the study were farmers, traders, and government
M. SOFIYUDDIN ET AL.
Location of Tanjung Jabung Barat district, Jambi province, Sumatra Island, Indonesia.
Profitability assessment needs a detailed farm budget calcu-
lation. It is necessary to clarify the macroeconomic assumptions
and the proper prices for calculating the costs and returns used
in this assessment. In this study, several macroeconomic pa-
rameters were used (Table 1).
The wage rate for agricultural work was IDR 50,000 per day
and the exchange rate was IDR 9084 to USD 1. Real interest
rate (that is, interest rate net of inflation) was the discount fac-
tor used to value future cash flows in current terms. A private
discount rate of 8% was chosen as the initial value of different
land-use activities, being the lower boundary for the actual cost
of capital for smallholders owing to imperfections in capital
markets in the area. Owing to time constraints and lack of reli-
able time-series data, we used single-year price data, that is,
2010 prices. The analysis for this study was only undertaken at
the private price. Analysis of NPV must have the same time
horizon across land uses in order to remain comparable across
the land uses. This study used a 30-year timeframe because we
were interested in the opportunity costs of entering a REDD+
contract (White & Minan g, 2011).
Result of the Assessment
The first step in the study was to select land uses for profit-
ability analysis. We divided land uses into eight: forest, Acacia
mangium, oil palm, coconut, rubber, coffee, betel nut, and crops.
In Tanjung Jabung Barat, there was a further divide into two
soil classifications: mineral and peat. Land-use systems were
also classified into large and small scale. Therefore, 15 land-use
systems were selected for profitability analysis (Table 2).
For large-scale operations, there were forest concessions, in-
dustrial timber plantations (Acacia mangium), and oil palm
plantations. All large-scale land-use systems were on mineral
soil. For smallholding operations, the study selected small-
holders’ oil palm, rubber (monoculture and mixed systems),
coconut (monoculture and mixed systems), coffee (mixed sys-
tems), and betel nut (mixed systems) to be assessed. On mineral
soil, the dominate land-use system was smallholding oil palm
and rubber, both monoculture and mixed. On peat, the domi-
nant system was mixed gardens: coconut, coffee, and betel nut.
Agriculture was divided into irrigated paddy, dryland paddy on
mineral soil, tidal paddy, and maize on peat soil.
Profitability of Different Type of Land Use
The results of the profitability analysis showed that all land
uses, both on mineral soil and peat, were positive, indicating
that those land uses were profitable. Estimates of NPV evalu-
ated at private price are presented in Table 3.
Large-scale oil palm plantation on mineral soil was the most
profitable land use. Indonesia has high comparative advantage
in oil palm. Since 2007, Indonesia has been the world’s largest
palm oil producer. The development of oil palm in Indonesia
was fast, with the area of plantations increasing from 120,000
ha in 1969 to almost 8 million ha in 2010. Indonesia now con-
trols more than 45% of the world’s palm oil market share (Dir-
jenbun, 2009). Therefore, it is not surprising that Indonesian oil
palm development continues to increase: business is very prof-
itable for both companies and the state.
Jambi province is currently the fourth largest in total area
under oil palm plantations in Indonesia, covering approximately
550,000 ha. Tanjung Jabung Barat district provides 15% of this,
at around 84,614 ha (BPS, 2010). More than 75% is dominated
by large-scale oil palm plantations, with approximately 12 pri-
vate oil palm plantations in Tanjung Jabung Barat, consuming a
total area of about 60,000 ha (BKPM, 2011).
Large-scale logging also has high NPV but is still lower than
an oil-palm system. Although there are no more forest conces-
sions in Tanjung Jabung Barat, large-scale conversion of forests
and logged-over forests began for the development of industrial
tree and oil palm plantations. This is the dilemma: high profit-
ability from logging will cause people to deplete the forest re-
source but low profitability will encourage conversion of for-
ests to other land uses that are more profitable.
Macroeconomic par ameters used in the study.
Exchange rateIDR 9084/ US D 1
Wage rate in JambiUSD 5.5 per p erson pe r d ay
Real interest rates (net of infla tion)
Private8% per year
Copyright © 2012 SciRes. 253
M. SOFIYUDDIN ET AL.
Land cover of Tanjung Jab ung Barat and the selected main land-use systems.
Selected land-use system
Land-cover t ype On mineral On peat Scale of operation
Forest Forest extraction. Logging (low density)
(17 m3/ha) (45,000 ha ) n/a
Acacia mangium Industrial timber plantation (Acacia mangium)
(12,274 ha) n/a
Oil palm Oil palm (3000 ha) n/a
Large-scal e en t er p rises
Oil palm (1 - 2 ha ) Nucleus estate and smallholder (NES)
Oil palm Independent smallholdin g
Coconut (1 - 2 ha) Coconut monoculture Coconut-based mixed garden (with coffee and
Rubber (1 - 2 ha) Rubber monoculture Rubber monoculture rubber agroforest
Coffee (1 - 2 ha) n/a Coffee-based mixed garden (with b etel nut)
Private profitability of la n d use systems in Tanjung Jabung Barat.
No Land Use System NPV on Minera l
(USD/ha) NPV on Peat
1 Oil palm l arge scale 7615 -
2 Logging 6114 -
3 Acacia plantation 1040 -
4 Smallholder oil palm 7012 5866
5 Rubber monoculture 2417 1481
6 Rubber agroforest 1580 -
7 Coconut monoculture 734 -
8 Coffee agro forest with
betel nut - 5722
9 Coconut agroforest with
coffee an d b etel nut - 5301
10 Betel nut agroforest with
coconut - 2002
11 Jelutung monoculture - 3590
12 Dryland paddy 404 -
13 Irrigated paddy 974 -
14 Tidal paddy - 882
15 Maize - 595
Acacia plantations also have a positive NPV but it is not as
high as the NPV of oil palm and logging. The development of
industrial timber plantations became part of the strategy for
national development to satisfy the demand for raw material
from the wood pulp industry. Nine million hectare were tar-
geted for development in 2011 but the realization was only 45%
in 2010 (Dirjen BPK, 2010). The low NPV for acacia planta-
tions indicates that indeed this business is not very attractive for
investors and farmers. Acacia plantations have a high estab-
lishment cost: major costs are associated with establishing and
maintaining roads and infrastructure, and tax payments to the
national and local governments.
All smallholders’ land-use systems showed positive profit-
ability, with oil palm having the higher profitability, both on
mineral and peat. Once again, this shows that whatever the
management system, oil palm is a very attractive option.
Smallholders’ rubber plantations also showed positive profit-
ability, but about only half that of oil palm. On mineral soil,
many farmers changed their rubber systems to oil palm. The
entry of large plantation companies also influenced this deci-
sion. Large-scale oil palm plantation sites in Tanjung Jabung
Barat were mostly scattered in Tungkal Ulu and Merlung
sub-districts and are all on mineral soil (BPS, 2010).
If we compare smallholders’ land-use systems on mineral
and peat, the results show that mineral soil is more profitable
than on peat. Management systems on peat for all land-use
system are more complex: there are additional costs for the
construction and maintenance of the drainage system (parit).
The costs are required continuously throughout the year for
maintenance to prevent submersion of plants and trees, which
can succumb to acid poisoning from the peat water. And in-
stead of drowning, excess water will cause plants to die of thirst.
For oil palm on peat, the di fficulty of market acce ss causes low
prices for fresh fruit bunches.
In the past, coconut plantations in peat areas were monocul-
tural. However, since the 1990s the price of coconut has de-
clined. Thus, farmers started to intercrop with coffee and betel
nut (called “mixed gardens”) to increase their profits. Profit-
ability of the mixed garden system was nearly equal to oil palm
plantations on peat. In other word, the competitiveness of
mixed gardens against oil palm was high.
Another land-use system in Tanjung Jabung Barat that must
be considered is “jelutung” (Dyera sp.) monoculture plantations.
This is a program of the forestry office in Tanjung Jabung Barat
that was initiated to protect forests on peat (HLG). About 4600
Copyright © 2012 SciRes.
M. SOFIYUDDIN ET AL.
ha from a total 16,000 ha has been encroached (Dishut, 2008).
Owing to limited data, this study used previous research data
adjusted to the conditions in Tanjung Jabung Barat. Because the
jelutung was planted, there is no farm budget data available.
Hence, in this study we used prediction data from another study.
Jelutung was planted at spacings of 5 × 5 m, so in one hectare
there were 400 tress (Rahmat & Bastomi, 2007). The results
showed that the private profitability of jelutung is lower than
mixed gardens and oil palm plantations.
The result from crop systems shows that the profitability is
lower than other land-use systems. Irrigated paddy had the
highest profitability, with the use of fertilizer having a major
impact on productivity. Dryland paddy had lower profitability
for crop systems, with simple management affecting the low
Table 4 shows the results of return to labor. The return to
labor for all land-use systems shows a larger value than the
wage rates in Tanjung Jabung Barat, which was on average
USD 5.5 per person per day. This suggests all land uses were
attractive and profitable for farmers and operators.
In large-scale systems, return to labor at the private rate was
in the range USD 8 - 17 per person per day. Acacia plantations
had a higher return to labor. Interestingly, although the value of
Private return to labor for all land use systems in Tanjung Jabung Bara t .
No Land Use System
Return to Labor
(USD/pers on pe r
Return to Labor
(USD/pers on pe r
1 Oil palm large scale 12.39 -
2 Logging 8.47 -
3 Acacia plantation 17.07 -
4 Smallholder oil palm 17.29 16.06
5 Rubber monoculture 7.39 8.05
6 Rubber agroforest 7.09 -
7 Coconut monoculture 8.93 -
8 Coffee agroforest with
betel nut - 8.91
9 Coconut agroforest
with coffee a n d b etel
nut - 8.54
10 Betel nut agr oforest
with coconut - 7.75
11 Jelutung monoculture - 16.46
12 Dry land paddy 5.83 -
13 Irrigated paddy 7.04 -
14 Tidal paddy - 6.19
15 Maize - 6.96
return to labor is quite large for acacia plantations, the system
has the lowest NPV compared with other large-scale systems.
This is related to the very high amount of labor required for the
establishment and operational phases. Acacia plantations also
did not have a positive cash flow until after years 10 of man-
agement. This shows that the land-use system was not efficient.
The same happened with jelutung monoculture plantations,
which meant that this system was also not efficient. This dif-
fered from oil palm plantation, both large-scale and smallhold-
ings, which have a high NPV and return to labor, showing that
the system is very efficient, attractive and profitable.
For smallholders’ systems the return to labor ranged USD 7 -
17 per person per day. Oil palm on mineral soil had a higher
return to land and rubber agroforest was the lowest for small-
holders’ systems. This result indicates the reason why farmers
switch from rubber to oil palm. Return to labor is an indicator
of profitability for farmers, which is the incentive to production.
High return to labor tends to encourage local people to switch
to, and commercializ e, this land-use system.
For crop systems, the return to labor ranged USD 5 - 8 per
person per day. Irrigated paddy had the highest return to labor.
Although it was lower than other land-use systems the value
was still higher than the wage rate in Tanjung Jabung Barat.
The results of profitability analysis showed that all land uses
both on mineral soil and peat are profitable. There are several
highlights of this study.
Large scale oil palm was the most profitable land use sys-
Of the smallholders’ systems, oil palm was the most profit-
able. Oil palm on peat was lower than on mineral soil be-
cause of higher costs in establishing drainage systems and
The competitiveness of rubber was lower against oil palm
on mineral soil. The profitability of smallholders’ oil palm
was almost three times that of rubber.
The competitiveness of mixed gardens was high against oil
palm on peat. The profitability of mixed gardens was al-
most the same as oi l palm.
The threat of converting other land uses to oil palm was
higher on mineral soil than on peat.
Crop systems had lower profitability than other land-use
systems. Of crop systems, irrigated paddy had the highest
The authors would like to thank the communities of Tanjung
Jabung Barat district for their generous hospitality and their
patient participation in the surveys. This study was part of two
complementary research projects: the NORAD-funded project,
“Reducing Emissions from All Land Uses (REALU)” and the
European Union-funded project, “Accountability and Local
Level Initiatives to Reduce Emissions from Deforestation and
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