Journal of Mathematical Finance, 2011, 1, 98-108
doi:10.4236/jmf.2011.13013 Published Online November 2011 (http://www.SciRP.org/journal/jmf)
Copyright © 2011 SciRes. JMF
European Option Pricing for a Stochastic Volatility Lévy
Model with Stochastic Interest Rates
Sarisa Pinkham, Pairote Sattayatham
School of Mathematics, Institute of Science, Suranaree University of Technology, Nakhon Ratchasima, Thailand
E-mail: sarisa@math.sut.ac.th, pairote@sut.ac.th
Received August 27, 2011; revised September 9, 2011; accepted September 18, 2011
Abstract
We present a European option pricing when the underlying asset price dynamics is governed by a linear
combination of the time-change Lévy process and a stochastic interest rate which follows the Vasicek proc-
ess. We obtain an explicit formula for the European call option in term of the characteristic function of the
tail probabilities.
Keywords: Time-Change Lévy Process, Stochastic Interest Rate, Vasicek Process, Forward Measure, Option
Pricing
1. Introduction
Let
,,
F
P be a probability space. A stochastic process
t is a Lévy process if it has independent and stationary
increments and has a stochastically continuous sample path,
L
i.e. for any 0,
0
lim 0
th t
hPL L

. The sim-
plest possible Lévy processes are the standard Brownian
motion , Poisson process and compound Poisson
process where is Poisson process with inten-
t
W
N
i
,
t
N
1
t
i
Y
t
N
sity t
and i are i.i.d. random variables. Of course, we
can build a new Lévy process from known ones by using
the technique of linear transformation. For example, the
Y
jump diffusion process , where
1
t
N
t
i
tW Y


i,
are constants, is a Lévy process which comes from a lin-
ear transformation of two independent Lévy processes,
i.e. a Brownian motion with drift and a compound Poi-
sson process.
Assume that a risk-neutral probability measure Q exists
and all processes in Section 1 will be considered under
this risk-neutral measure.
In the Black-Scholes model, the price of a risky asset
t under a risk-neutral measure Q and with non divi-
dend payment follows
S

2
00
1
exp exp2
tt t
SSL SrtWt



 

(1.1)
where is a risk-free interest rates,
r
is a vo-
latility coefficient of the stock price. Instead of modeling
the log returns
2
1
2
tt
Lrt Wt

 
with a normal distribution. We now replace it with a more
sophisticated process which is a Lévy process of the
form
t
L
2
1,
2
tt t
LrtWt J t

 

 (1.2)
where t
J
and t
denotes a pure Lévy jump component,
(i.e. a Lévy process with no Brownian motion part) and
its convexity adjustment. We assume that the processes
and
t
Wt
J
are independent. To incorporate the volatile-
ity effect to the model (1.2), we follow the technique of
Carr and Wu [1] by subordinating a part of a standard
Brownian motion 2
1
2
t
Wt
and a part of jump Lévy
process t
J
t
by the time integral of a mean reverting
Cox Ingersoll Ross (CIR) process
0d
t
ts
Tvs
,
where follows the CIR process
t
v
d1d d
v
ttvt
vvtv

 t
W (1.3)
Here is a standard Brownian motion which corre-
sponds to the process. The constant
v
t
W
t
v
is the rate
at which the processreverts toward its long term mean
and
t
v
0
v
is the volatility coefficient of the process .
t
v
99
S. PINKHAM ET AL.
Hence, the model (1.2) has been changed to
2
1,
2
tt
tTtT
Lrt WT JT
 

 


t
(1.4)
and this new process is called a stochastic volatility Levy
process. One can interpret t as the stochastic clock proc-
ess with activity rate process t. By replacing t in (1.1)
with t, we obtain a model of an underlying asset under
the risk-neutral measure Q with stochastic volatility as
follows:
T
v L
L

2
0
1
exp 2
tt
tTtT
SSrt WTJT
 


 


t
(1.5)
In this paper, we shall consider the problem of finding
a formula for European call options based on the under-
lying asset model (1.5) for which the constant interest
rates r is replaced by the stochastic interest rates and
,
t
r
t
J
is compound Poisson process, i.e. the model under
our consideration is given by
2
0
1
exp 2
tt
ttTtT
SSrt WTJT
 


 


t
,
(1.6)
Here, we assume that rt follows the Vasicek process

dd
dr
t
ttr
rrt
W
 
  (1.7)
r
t
W
0
is a standard Brownian motion with respect to the
process t and . The constant rdddd 0
rv r
tt tt
WW WW
is the rate at which the interest rate reverts to-
ward its long term mean, 0
r
is the volatility coeffi-
cient of the interest rate process (1.7), The constant
0
is a speed reversion.
2. Literature Reviews
Many financial engineering studies have been undertaken
to modify and improve the Black-Scholes model. For ex-
ample, The jump diffusion models of Merton [2], the sto-
chastic Volatility jump diffusion model of Bates [3] and
Yan and Hanson [4]. Furthermore, the time change Lévy
models proposed by Carr and Wu [1].
The problem of option pricing under stochastic interest
rates has been investigated for along time. Kim [5] con-
structed the option pricing formula based on Black-Scholes
model under several stochastic interest rate processes,
i.e., Vasicek, CIR, Ho-Lee type. He found that by incur-
porating stochastic interest rates into the Black-Scholes
model, for a short maturity option, does not contribute to
improvement in the performance of the original Black-
Scholes’ pricing formula. Brigo and Mercurio [6] mention
that the stochastic feature of interest rates has a stronger
impact on the option price when pricing for a long ma-
turity option. Carr and Wu [1] continue this study by giving
the option pricing formula based on a time-changed Lévy
process model. But they still use constant interest rates in
the model.
In this paper, we give an analysis on the option pricing
model based on a time-changed Lévy process with sto-
chastic interest rates.
The rest of the paper is organized as follows. The dy-
namics under the forward measure is described in Section
3. The option pricing formula is given in Section 4. Fi-
nally, the close form solution for a European call option in
terms of the characteristic function is given in Section 5.
3. The Ddynamics under the Forward
Measure
We begin by giving a brief review of the definition of a
correlated Brownian motion and some of its properties
(for more details one see Brummelhuis [7]). Recalling
that a standard Brownian motion in is a stochastic
n
R
process
0
tt
Z whose value at time t is simply a vector of
n independent Brownian motions at t,
1, ,
,,
ttn
ZZZt
We use Z instead of W since we would like to reserve the
latter for the more general case of correlated Brownian
motion, which will be defined as follows:
Let
1,
ij ij n

be a (constant) positive symmetric
matrix satisfying 1
ii
and 1
ij 1
  By Cholesky’s
decomposition theorem, one can find an upper triangul
nn
matrix
ij
h such that ,

t where
t
Η
is the transpose of the matrix .
Η
Let
1, ,
,,
ttn
ZZZt
be a standard Brownian motion as
introduced above, we define a new vector-valued process
1, ,
,,
ttn
WWWtt
Z
n
by or in term of com-
ponents,
t
W
,,
1
, 1,,
n
itij jt
j
WhZi

The process
W0
tt is called a correlated Brownian mo-
tion with a (constant) correlation matrix
. Each com-
ponent process
,it t
W0
is itself a standard Brownian
motion. Note that if
I
d
(the identity matrix) then
t is a standard Brownian motion. For example, if we
let a symmetric matrix
W
10
10
001
v
v

(3.1)
Then
has a Cholesky decomposition of the form
T
H
H
where
H
is an upper triangular matrix of
the form
Copyright © 2011 SciRes. JMF
S. PINKHAM ET AL.
100
2
10
01
00
vv
H







0
1
Let
,,
rv
tttt
Z
ZZZ
tt
WW
be three independent Brownian
motions then
,,
r
tt
W
W defined by tt
WZ,
or in terms of components,
2
1,,
vvr
tvt vttttt
WZZWZW Z

 
r
(3.2)
Now let us turn to our problem. Note that, by Ito’s
lemma, the model (1.6) has the dynamic given by




ddde
ddd,
d1d d,

 

 
 
 
t
tt
Y
tttmtT tT
r
ttrt
v
ttvtt
SSrvtWSN
rrtW
vvtvW
1d,
(3.3)
where , and

e1
t
Y
mE


dd dd0
rr
tt tt
WW WW
dd d
v
tt v
WW t
.
We can re-write the dynamic (3.3) in terms of three
independent Brownian motions
,,
r
tt t
Z
ZZ
follows (3.2),
we get


2
dd 1
e1d,
 
 

t
t
v
tttmttvt vt
Y
tT
SSrvtv dZZ
SN
d
d,
t
Z
(3.4)

dd
r
ttr
rrt
 
  (3.5)

d1d d
v
ttvt
vvtv

 ,
t
Z (3.6)
This decomposition makes it easier to perform a
measure transformation. In fact, for any fixed maturity T,
let us denote by the T-forward measure, i.e. the
probability measure that is defined by the Radon-
Nikodym derivative,
T
Q

0
exp d
d
d0,
T
u
Tru
Q
QPT


(3.7)
Here, is the price at time t of a zero-coupon
bond with maturity and is defined as
,PtT
T

,e
T
s
trds
Q
PtT EF

t
(3.8)
Next, Consider a continuous-time economy where in-
terest rates are stochastic and satisfy (3.5). Since the SDE
(3.5) satisfies all the necessary conditions of Theorem 32,
see Protter [8], then the solution of (3.5) has the Markov
property. As a consequence, the zero coupon bond price
at time t under the measure Q in (3.8) satisfies

,expd
T
Qs
t
PtTEr sr
t




(3.9)
Note that
,PtT depends on tonly instead of de-
pending on all information available in Ft up to time t.
As such, it becomes a function
r
,
t
F
tr of ,
t
r

,,
t
PtT Ftr,
meaning that the pricing problem can now be formulated
as a search for the function

,t
F
tr .
Lemma 1 The price of a zero coupon bond can be de-
rived by computing the expectation (3.9). We obtain

,exp,,
t
PtTatTbtT r
(3.10)
where


1
,e
Tt
t
btr
1
,




22
2
23 3
22
32 22
3
,e
44
e2
Tt
rr
Tt
rr
atT
Tt

 

 



 


 

 
 
Proof. See Privault [9] (pp. 38-39).
Lemma 2 The process t following the dynamics in
(3.5) can be written in the form
r
tt
rxwt, for each t (3.11)
where the process t
x
satisfies
0
ddd,
r
ttrt
xxtZx

0
 
. (3.12)
Moreover, the function w(t) is deterministic and well
defined in the time interval [0,T] which satisfied

0e1e
t
wt r

t
(3.13)
In particular,
0
0wr
.
Proof. To solve the solution of SDE (3.5),
Let
,t
g
tre r
and using Ito’s Lemma

22
2
1
ddd d
2
gg g,
g
tr r
tr r



Then,

dded
= ded
ttt
tt tr
ttr
rt
erertrtZ
et Z





d
r
t
(3.14)
Integrated on both side the above equation from 0 to t
where 0tT
and simplified, one get

00
e1e ed
ttu
tt
tr
rr Z

r
u



By using the definition of form (3.13),

wt
Copyright © 2011 SciRes. JMF
S. PINKHAM ET AL.
Copyright © 2011 SciRes. JMF
101
uHence,


00
de1
TT
Tu r
r
uu
d
x
uZ

 
 (3.22)


0ed
ttu r
tr
rwtZ


(3.15)
where


0e1e
tt
wt r


.
Note that the solution of (3.12) is Note that the solution of (3.12) is
 
000
eede
tt
tu tu
tr
trur
 
000
eede
tt
tu tu
tr
trur
d
r
u
.
d
r
u
x
xZ


 
 

Substituting (3.22) into (3.17), once get
Z
t
. (3.16)




22
2
00
d
d
exp1 ed1 ed
2
T
TT
Tu Tu
r
rr
u
Q
Q
Z
u


 





Hence, for each t. The proof is now
complete.

t
rwt x
(3.23)
Next we shall calculate the Radon-Nikodym derivative
as appear in (3.7). By Lemma 1 and 2, we have
and . Substituting and

tt
rxwt
0,PT t
r
0,PT
into (3.7), we have
The Girsanov theorem then implies that the three proc-
esses ,
rT vT
tt
Z
Z and T
t
Z
defined by





0
0
22
2
0
0
exp d
d
dexp 0,0,
expd1d
2
T
Tu
T
TTu
u
xwuu
Q
QaTbTr
x
ue


u 



d
u


dd 1e
dd,dd
Tt
rTr r
tt
vTv T
tttt
d
Z
Zt
ZZZZ

 

(3.24)
are three independent Brownian motions under the meas-
ure . Therefore, the dynamics of and under
are given by
T
Q,
tt
rv t
S
T
Q
(3.17)






2
2
ddd1
e1d,
d1edd,
d1d d.
t
t
vT T
tttmtv tttvt
Y
tT
Tt rT
r
tt rt
vT
ttvtt
SSrvtvZvZ
SN
rr tZ
vvtvZ
 
 


 


 


 
d
(3.25)
Stochastic integration by parts implies that

000
dd
TTT
uT u
x
uTxuxTux 

(3.18)
By substituting the expression for from (3.12),
u
dx

 
0
00
d
dd
T
u
TT
r
ur
Tux
Tuxu TuZ

 

u
(3.19)
Moreover by substituting the expression for u
x
from
(3.16), the first integral on the right hand side of (3.19)
becomes
4. The Pricing of a European Call Option on
the Given Asset



0
0
d
edd
T
u
Tu
us r
ru
o
Tuxu
TuZ u



 
 (3.20)
Let
0,
ttT
S
be the price of a financial asset modeled as
a stochastic process on a filtered probability space
,, ,,
T
t
FFQ t
F
is usually taken to be the price his-
Using integral by parts, we have (Equation 3.21)
Substituting (3.21) into (3.19), we obtain



00
de1
TT
Tu r
r
uu
Tux Z

 

d
tory up to time t. All processes in this section will be de-
fined in this space. We denote C the price at time t of a
European u call option on the current price of an under-
lying asset with strike price K and expiration time T.
t
S









0
0000 0
00 00
00 0
edd
ede dedded
ed ededed
eedde1d
Tu
us r
ru
o
TuTu u
sr usrv
rs rs
TT Tu
urvv ur
ru u
Tu T
Tu
uvr r
r
ruu
TuZ u
ZTuuZTv v
ZTvv TvvZ
Tv vZZ
 
 


 







 

 




  




 
 
 

0d.
Tr
ru
TuZ

(3.21)
S. PINKHAM ET AL.
102
The terminal payoff of a European option on the un-
derlying stock with strike price
t
S
K
is
max,0
T
SK
(4.1)
This means the holder will exercise his right only
and then his gain is T. Otherwise, if T
T
SK
KSKS
then
the holder will buy the underlying asset from the market and
the value of the option is zero.
We would like to find a formula for pricing a Euro-
pean call option with strike price K and maturity T based
on the model (3.25). Consider a continuous-time econ-
omy where interest rates are stochastic and the price of
the European call option at time t under the T-forward
measure is
T
Q


0
,,,;,,max,0 ,,
(, )max,0, ,d


T
T
tt tTtt t
Q
TTtttT
Q
CtS rvTKPtTESKS rv
PtTSKpSSr vS
where is the expectation with respect to the T-for-
T
Q
E
ward probability measure, is the corresponding con-
T
Q
p
ditional density given and P is a zero coupon
bond which is defined in Lemma 1.
,,
tt t
Srv
With a change in variable ln,
tt
X
S













ln
ln
ln
ln
ln
,,,;,
,maxe ,0,,,d
,e1 ,,d
= ,e,,d
,,,d
1
ee
e,,
T
T
T
T
T
T
T
T
tT
T
T
T
tt t
X
TtttT
Q
X
XKTtttT
Q
K
X
TtttT
Q
K
Tttt T
Q
K
XX
TtttT
QX K
tt t
Q
CtS rvTK
PtTKpXX rvX
PtTKpXX rvX
PtTpXX rvX
KPtTpXXrvX
pXXrvvX
ESrv






,,

ln
,,,d
TTtttT
Q
K
KPt TpXXrvX

ln
,,
ed
(e,,)
T
tT
T
T
Tttt
Q
XX
T
X
K
tt t
Q
pXXrv
eX
ESrv




ln
,,
TTtttT
Q
K,d
K
PtTpXX rvX
(4.2)
With the first integrand in (4.2) being positive and in-
tegrating up to one. The first integrand therefore defines a
new probability measure that we denote by below
T
Q
q



ln
ln
,,,;,
e,,d
,,
t
T
T
tt t
X
TtttT
Q
K
TtttT
Q
K
CtS rvTK
qXXrvX
,d
K
PtTpXX rvX





12
eP, ,,;,, P,,,;,
ePrln,,
,Prln,,



t
t
X
tt ttt t
X
Tttt
Tttt
tXrvTKKPtTtXrvTK
XKXrv
KPt TXKXrv
(4.3)
where those probabilities in (4.3) are calculated under the
probability measure .
T
Q
The European call option for log asset price
ln
tt
X
S
will be denoted by


1
2
ˆ,,,;, eP,,,;,
e,P,,,;,
t
X
tt ttt t
tt t
CtX rvTtX rvT
PtTtX rvT

(4.4)
where ln
K
and
 
P,,,;, := P,,,;, , 1,2
jtttjttt
tX rvTtX rvTKj
.
Note that we do not have a closed form solution for these
probabilities. However, these probabilities are related to
characteristic functions which have closed form solutions
as will be seen in Lemma 4. The following lemma shows
the relationship between and in the option value of
(4.4).
1
P
2
P
Lemma 3 The functions and in the option val-
ues of (4.4) satisfy the PIDEs (4.5):
1
P
2
P
and subject to the boundary condition at expiration t= T
1,,,;,1 .
x
PTxrvT
(4.6)
Moreover, satisfies the Equation (4.7)
2
P





11
111
0e1,,,;,,,,
y
vv
PP ;,d
A
PvvPtxyrvTPxtrvTkyy
tv
 




 
 



(4.5)

 



2
2
22
222
22
22
2(
22
2
22
0,
2
,,
1, 1e
2
,,,;,,,,;,(e1) d
r
Tt
rr
y
PPP
vv
AP vbtT
tx r
x
atT btT
PrbtTPr b
tt
P
vPt xyrvTPt xrvTkyy
x








 

 






 








)
,
tT
(4.7)
Copyright © 2011 SciRes. JMF
103
S. PINKHAM ET AL.
and subject to the boundary condition at expiration t = T
2,,,;,1
x
PTxrvT
(4.8)
where for i = 1,2







2
21
222 2
2
2
222
1
[] 1e
2
1222
,,,; ,(,,,; , )e1d
Tt
ii
r
i
iv iiii
r
vv
y
i
ii
PP
AP rvr
xr
PvPP PP
v
vv
vv
vxr
P
vPt xyrvTPxt rvTkyy
x








 





 





 






 

x

(4.9)
Note that if
11
x
x
and otherwise 10
x
.
Proof. See Appendix A.
5. The Closed-Form Solution for European
Call Options
For j = 1,2 the characteristic function for
, with respect to the variable
,,,;,
j
PtxrvT
, are
defined by
 
iuκ
,,,;,:e d,,,;,,


jj
ftxrvTuPtxrvT (5.1)
with a minus sign to account for the negativity of the
measure
j
dP
. Note that
j
f
also satisfies similar PIDEs
,,,;, 0,
j
jj
fAf txrvT
t



(5.2)
with the respective boundary conditions
 


,,,;,e d,,,;,
ede.
iu
jj
iu iux
fTxrvTuPtxrvT
x
 



 
Since
 
d,,,;,1d


jx
PtxrvT dx
The following lemma shows how to calculate the char-
acteristic functions for and as they appeared in
Lemma 3. 1
P
2
P
Lemma 4 The functions and can be calculated
by the inverse Fourier transformations of the character-
istic function, i.e.
1
P
2
P

0
e,,,;,
11
,,,;, Red,
2π

 


iu
j
j
ftxrvTu
PtxrvT u
iu
for with Re[.] denoting the real component of a
complex number.
1, 2,j
By letting Tt

, the characteristic function
j
f
is
given by
,,,; ,expiux,
jjj
ftxrvt uBrCvE
j

 
where
2
1222 1
,,
2
v
jjjj jjj
bbbbb

 ,
 


12 22
22
10
1, ,
1ee1
2
vv vv
iux yy
biubiu
biuuiukydy


 

 


 


22
20
1ee1d
2
iux y
buiuiuk yy


 



 


1
11 12
1211 12
1
111111112
22222
32
2
2
2
3
e
ln
22
e12
2
4e e3
4
r
rr
r
bb
bbb
Bbb bb
iu iu u
u

 

 



 








2
201
1e ,4
j
jj jj
iu
Cb


bb

2
201
2
201
4
12
4
11 2
e1
.
2e
jjj
jjj
bbb
jj
jbbb
jj j
bb
E
bb b













2
22 21
2221 22
2
2121 221 22
2
2
32
2
22
3
2
2
22
ln
22
42 1e)
42e 1
4
14
2
r
r
r
bb
bbe
Bbb bb
iu
uiu
uiu
iuu iu




2
b




 







 





Proof. See Appendix B.
In summary, we have just proved the following main
theorem.
Copyright © 2011 SciRes. JMF
S. PINKHAM ET AL.
104
Theorem 5 The value of a European call option of
SDE (3.25) is


12
,,,;,
,,,;,(,),,,;,
tt t
tttt ttt
CtS rvTK
SPtX rvTKPtTPtXrvT

where 1
P
and 2
P
are given in Lemma 4 and
,PtT is
given in Lemma 1.
6. Acknowledgements
This research is (partially) supported by The Center of
Excellent in Mathematics, the commission on Higher
Education (CHE).
Address: 272 Rama VI Road, Ratchathewi District,
Bangkok, Thailand.
7. References
[1] P. Carr and L. Wu, “Time Change Levy Processes and
Option Pricing,” Journal of Financial Economics, Vol.
17, No. 1, 2004, pp. 113-141.
doi:10.1016/S0304-405X(03)00171-5
[2] R. C. Merton, “Option Pricing when Underlying Stock
Returns are Discontinuous,” Journal of Financial Eco-
nomics, Vol. 3, No. 1-2, 1976, pp. 125-144.
doi:10.1016/0304-405X(76)90022-2
[3] D. Bates, “Jump and Stochastic Volatility: Exchange Rate
Processes Implicit in Deutche Mark in Option,” Review of
Financial Studies, Vol. 9, No. 1, 1996, pp. 69-107.
doi:10.1093/rfs/9.1.69
[4] G. Yan and F. B. Hanson, “Option Pricing for Stochastic
Volatility Jump Diffusion Model with Log Uniform Jump
Amplitudes,” Proceeding American Control Conference,
Minneapolis, 14-16 June 2006, pp. 2989-2994.
[5] Y. J. Kim, “Option Pricing under Stochastic Interest rates:
An Empirical Investigation,” Asia Pacific Financial
Markets, Vol. 9, No. 1, 2001, pp. 23-44.
doi:10.1023/A:1021155301176
[6] D. Brigo and F. Mercuiro, “Interest Rate Models: Theory
and Practice,” 2nd Edition, Springer, Berlin, 2001.
[7] R. Brummelhuis, “Mathematical Method for Financial
Engineering,” University of London, 2009.
http://www.ems.bbk.ac.uk/for_students/msc./math_metho
ds/lecture1.pdf
[8] P.E. Plotter, “Stochastic Integration and Differential
Equation,” Stochastic Modeling and Applied Probability,
Vol. 21, 2nd Edition, Springer, Berlin, 2005.
[9] N. Privault, “An Elementary Introduction to Stochastic
Interest Rate Modeling,” Advance Series on Statistical
Science & Applied Probability, Vol. 2, World Scientific,
Singapore, 2008.
[10] M. G. Kendall, A. Stuat and J. K. Ord, “Advance Theory
of Statistics Vol. 1,” Halsted Press, New York, 1987.
Copyright © 2011 SciRes. JMF
S. PINKHAM ET AL. 105
Appendix A: Proof of Lemma 3
By Ito’s lemma, follows the partial inte-
gro-differential equation (PIDE)
ˆ,,,Ctxrv
ˆˆˆ
0,
DJ
tt
CLC LC
t

(A.1)
where




2
2
22
222 2
22
2
ˆˆ
1
ˆ1e
2
ˆˆˆ
1222
ˆˆ

 




 





 
 



Tt
Dr
t
vr
vv
CC
LC rvr
2
ˆ
x
r
v
CCvCC
vvvxr
C
vrC
xv
and



ˆ
ˆ
ˆˆ
,,,,,,e1 d
J
t
y
LC
C
vCtxyrvCtxrvk yy
x






where is the Lévy density.
()ky
We plan to substitute (4.4) into (A.1). Firstly, we compute
 



 
12
2
12
1
12
12
2
2
2
11
1
22
ˆ
ee,, ,
ˆ
ee,,
ˆ
ee,,
ˆ
ee, ,,
ˆ
e2e
x
x
x
x
x
PP
CPtTPatTbtTr
tt tt
PP
CPPtT
xx x
PP
CPtT
vvv
PP
CPtT PbtT
rrr
PP
CPPt
x
xx
,



 




 



 


 

 















  
2
2
2
22
2
12
22 2
2
22
1121
22
2
2
22
2
2
,,
ˆ
ee,,
ˆˆ
ee,,e
e, 2,,,.
x
xx
P
Tx
PP
CPtT
vv v
PPPP
CC
PtT
vxvxvvx rr
PP
PtTbtTPb tT
r
r






 











 
22
2
112 2
ˆ
ee,,
xPPP P
CPtTbtT ,
x
rxrrxrx
 
 
 
 
 
 
 





111
22
ˆˆ
,,,,;,,,,,;,
ee1,,,;,,,,;,,,,;,
e(,),,,;,,,,;, .
xy
Ctxyrv TCtxrv T
PtxyrvTPt xyrvTPxtrvT
PtTPt xyrvTPt xrvT





 






Substitute all terms above into (A.1) and separate it by
assumed independent terms of 1
P
and 2
P
. This gives
two PIDEs for the T-forward probability for
,,,;, ,1,2:
i
PtxrvTj








2
2
11 1
22222
2
1111
222
1
11
11e
2
1
222
,,,;,,,,;,e1d.
e
Tt
r
vr
vv vv
y
y
PP P
rv r
tx r
v
PPPP
v
vv
vx v
vxr
P
vPtxyrvTPxtrvTkyy
x
v

  




 

  





1
P
v






 





 






11
1,,,;,,,,;,d.0Ptx yrvTPxtrvTky y



 


(A.2)
and subject to the boundary condition at the expiration
time t = T according to (4.6).
By using the notation in (4.9), then (A.2) becomes
Equation (A.3)





11
111
1
11
0e1,,,;,,,,
:.
y
vv
PP ;,d.
A
PvvPtxyrvTPxtrvTkyy
tv
PAP
t
 




 
 






(A.3)
Copyright © 2011 SciRes. JMF
S. PINKHAM ET AL.
106
For
2(,, , ;,):PtxrvT





  


2
22222
2
2 2
2222222
2
222
22 2
2
2
1
01 ,
22222
,,
12, 1e
2
vrr
vv
Tt Tt
rr r
v
PPPPPPP
v
rvv vbtTrP
txvvx
xvr
atT btT
P
re btTPrr
rtt
 

 
 
 

 



 




 


 










2
22
,
,,,;,,,,;,e1d.
y
btT
P
vP txyrvTPtxrvTkyy
x









 



Again, by using the notation (4.9), then (A.4) becomes
(A.4)
and subject to the boundary condition at expiration time t
= T according to (4.8).




2 2
2
22
2222
22
2
2
2
222
,,
0,
22
1e (,):
r
r
Tt
r
atT btT
PPPP
v2
1,
A
PvbtT PrbtT
tx rtt
x
P
PrbtT AP
t







 


 
 




 






(A.5)
The proof is now completed.
Copyright © 2011 SciRes. JMF
107
S. PINKHAM ET AL.
Appendix B: Proof of Lemma 4
To solve the characteristic function explicitly, letting
Tt

1
f
be the time-to-go, we conjecture that the func-
tion is given by

  

1
111
,,,;,
exp iux,


ftxrvtu
BrCvE (B.1)
and the boundary condition

111
000BCE0.
This conjecture exploits the linearity of the coefficient in
PIDEs (5.2).
Note that the characteristic function of 1 always
exists. In order to substitute (B.1) into (5.2), firstly, we
compute
f
  

1
1111
,,
f
BrCvEfiuf
t


 
 
 
 
2
2
11 1
11 111
2
22
22
11
111 1
22
22
11
11 11
1
11
,,
,,
,,
e(,,,; ,)
(,,,;,)(,,,; ,)
iux
fff
Cf Efuf
rvx
ff
EfCf
vr
ff
iuC fiuE f
xr vx
ftxrvt u
ftx yrvtuftxrvtu





 






 
 
,
1
1
f
x
Substituting all the above terms into (5.2), after can-
celling the common factor of 1
f
, we get a simplified
form as follows:
 
 

 
 




 
11
22
22
111
22
2
1111
0
1ee1 e1ed
22
+1e
2
iuxyy iux
v
vv
Tt
rr
rCiu C
vEiuEEiuuiuk yy
BCCE

 

 


 

 

 
 

 


 





By separating the order, r, v and ordering the re-
maining terms, we can reduce it to three ordinary differ-
ential equations (ODEs) as follows:
11
()() ,CCiu

 (B.2)
 


 


2
2
11 1
2
2
1
2
ee1d,
2
v
vv
iux yy
EE iuE
iuuiukyy



 
(B.3)



 
22
2
1111
C1e .
2
Tt
rr
BCE





 


(B.4)
It is clear from (B.2) andthat
(0)0C

11e ,
iu
C


(B.5)
Let
2
1,
2
v
b

21,
vv
biu
 

 


22
0
1ee1
2
iux yy
biuuiuky


 


dy
and substitute all term above into (B.3). we get
 
22
22 0122 01
111 1
11
44
22
 
bb bbbb bb
EbE E
bb

  

 


By method of variable separation, we have
 
1
1
22
22 0122 01
11
11
dd
44
22
Eb
bb bbbbbb
EE
bb


  




Using partial fraction on the left hand side, we get
Copyright © 2011 SciRes. JMF
S. PINKHAM ET AL.
108


1
22
11
11
11
dd
()
22
E
bb
EE
bb













where 2
20
4bbb1
.
Integrating both sides, we have


2
1
1
0
2
1
1
2
ln
2
b
Eb
E
b
Eb









Using boundary condition1(0)0E
 we get
2
0
2
ln b
Eb





Solving for1()E
, we obtain



12
1
11 2
e1
2e
bb
E
bb b


(B.6)
where .
12 22
,bb bb

In order to solve1()B
explicitly, we substitute 1()C
and 1()E
in (B.5) and (B.6) into (B.4) .





22
2
122
2
212
2
2
11 2
'1ee
e1
12ee
22e
rr
r
iu iu
iu
B
bb
u
bb b
Integrating with respect to
and using boundary con-
dition 1(0)B0
, then we get



 

222
12
2
22
22
33
12
212
11 12
2
e14ee 3
24
e
ln
22
rr
rr
Biu u
iu u
bb
bbb
bb bb
 






 




 






The details of the proof for the characteristic function
2
f
are similar to1
f
.
Hence, we have
  
2
222
,,,;,
exp
ftxrvT u
iux BrCvE


where
22
,BC
and 2()E
are as given in this Lem-
ma.
We can thus evaluate the characteristic function in
close form. However, we are interested in the probabil-
ity
j
P
. These can be inverted from the characteristic
functions by performing the following integration

iuκ
0
,,,;,
e,,.;,
11Re d
2
j
j
PtxrvT
ftxvrTuu
iu

 


e

 





 






for 1, 2j
where ln
tt
X
S
and ln
K
, see Ken-
dall et al. [10]. The proof is now complete.
Copyright © 2011 SciRes. JMF